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Are longer and more intense heatwaves more prone to extreme precipitation?
Global and Planetary Change ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-26 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104428 Peng Sun , Yaojin Bian , Shifang Yu , Rui Yao , Zhongtian Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenhui Chen , Chenhao Ge , Zice Ma , Wenying Du
Global and Planetary Change ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-26 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104428 Peng Sun , Yaojin Bian , Shifang Yu , Rui Yao , Zhongtian Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenhui Chen , Chenhao Ge , Zice Ma , Wenying Du
Simultaneous/sequential occurrence of multiple extreme climate events has the tendency to inflict greater damage compared to isolated extreme climate events. The exploration of simultaneous or continuous extreme events holds profound implications for disaster risk prevention. Therefore, we identified the compound heatwaves and extreme precipitation events (CHP, extreme precipitation events following heatwaves) in China based on ERA5 data. Then, the individual extreme events and compound events were undertaken through event coincidence analysis. Furthermore, the atmospheric background of individual extreme events and compound extreme events was further investigated. The results show that the CHP events with an increasing trend mainly occurred in northern China and northeastern the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Notably, after the year 2000, the time interval of extreme precipitation in CHP events was significantly shortened. In July and August, the trigger coincidence rate of extreme precipitations by heatwaves occurred higher and extreme precipitation events following heatwaves accounted for 40%. Moreover, Extreme precipitation is more likely to occur after a longer duration and higher intensity heatwave in the QTP. Convective effective potential energy (CAPE) and relative humidity manifest a considerable increase during the heatwave duration, greatly augmenting the risk of extreme precipitation events. In addition, the frequency of CHP events is higher in northern and northeastern China during El Niño years. While it predominantly concentrates in the northeast region in La Niña years.
更新日期：2024-03-26
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